Localized for 1,000+ U.S. cities — adjusted for local labor, climate & permits
City comparison

Furnace Replacement cost: Aurora vs Centennial (2026)

There's essentially no price gap here: furnace replacement runs close to $6,600 in both Aurora and Centennial in 2026.

Aurora CO

$4,700 $8,450

Typically around $6,600

Centennial CO

$4,700 $8,450

Typically around $6,600

Side by side

Aurora vs Centennial: full breakdown

FactorAuroraCentennial
Typical 2026 cost$6,600$6,600
Estimated range$4,700–$8,450$4,700–$8,450
Labor index (vs US)×1.09×1.09
Climate zoneColdCold
Climate factor×1.08×1.08
Local permit$225$225
Labor share$3,950$3,950
Materials/equipment$2,650$2,650

These are 2026 planning figures for furnace replacement, localized to each city — not formal quotes.

The verdict

A wash — choose on quality, not city

With no real price gap on furnace replacement, the choice comes down to contractor quality and timing, not which city you're in.

By type

Furnace replacement by type: Aurora vs Centennial

Every furnace replacement type gets its own localized price for each metro, using the same labor, climate and permit adjustments — a true apples-to-apples comparison.

TypeAuroraCentennial
Gas furnace$4,550$8,350$4,550$8,350
High-efficiency gas furnace$4,100$8,350$4,100$8,350
Electric furnace$2,600$5,500$2,600$5,500

Localized 2026 planning estimates — not quotes. Each city adjusts the national furnace replacement range for local labor, climate and permits.

By size

Furnace replacement by home size: Aurora vs Centennial

Furnace cost scales with the heating capacity (BTU) your home needs — roughly 40–45 BTU per square foot in a mixed climate. Larger homes need a bigger unit and more ductwork.

SizeAuroraCentennial
1,000 sq ft (≈45,000 BTU)$3,500$6,350$3,500$6,350
1,500 sq ft (≈68,000 BTU)$4,100$7,300$4,100$7,300
2,000 sq ft (≈90,000 BTU)$4,700$8,450$4,700$8,450
2,500 sq ft (≈110,000 BTU)$5,400$9,650$5,400$9,650
3,000 sq ft (≈130,000 BTU)$6,100$10,800$6,100$10,800
3,500+ sq ft (≈150,000 BTU)$6,800$12,000$6,800$12,000

Localized 2026 planning estimates — not quotes. Each city adjusts the national furnace replacement range for local labor, climate and permits.

Local labor reality

What hvac pros earn in each metro

Labor is about 60% of a furnace replacement bill, so local wages drive most of the gap. These are real metro hourly wages for skilled installers (BLS OEWS), not estimates.

Aurora, CO
$35.7/hr

Denver-Aurora-Centennial metro · about 15% above the US average installer wage.

Centennial, CO
$35.7/hr

Denver-Aurora-Centennial metro · about 15% above the US average installer wage.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, OEWS metro wages for HVAC installers (used as a trade-labor index).

Best time to buy

Cheapest time for furnace replacement in either city

Why spring and fall are cheaper: contractors have open calendar space and compete harder for the work. Why summer and deep winter are expensive: a broken system in extreme weather isn't optional, so you lose your negotiating leverage.

Best window
Spring and fall (Mar–May, Sep–Oct)
Avoid
Peak summer and mid-winter
Off-peak savings
5–15%
Editors' roundtable

How much should you really budget for HVAC in 2026?

Three factors move an HVAC quote more than anything else: how well it's sized, which efficiency tier you pick, and the brand markup. Our editors break down how they weigh each one.

The longevity case

The single biggest cost driver isn't the brand — it's correct sizing and install quality. A properly sized, well-commissioned mid-tier system with annual maintenance outlasts an oversized premium unit that short-cycles. Spend on the install, not the badge.

The efficiency-first case

In a hot-summer or cold-winter region, a higher SEER2/AFUE unit — or a heat pump — earns its premium back in lower bills, and utility and state rebates can still cut into the sticker (the federal 25C/25D credits ended Dec 2025). Run the payback math before defaulting to the cheapest box.

The budget-first case

Run a Manual J load calculation, then buy the standard tier — 80% AFUE, 14.3 SEER2 — and stop there. Where summers are short and winters are gentle, the equipment idles most of the year, so premium efficiency never gets enough runtime to earn back its price. Paying for SEER2 you'll rarely tap is the classic way a mild-climate homeowner overspends.

Our take

The costly errors in an HVAC job are a bad load calculation and a sloppy install — not the logo you chose. Size it with a real Manual J, let your climate set the efficiency tier, and claim whatever rebates you still qualify for.

FAQ

Aurora vs Centennial

Is furnace replacement cheaper in Aurora or Centennial?

Not really — both cities land at almost the same number for furnace replacement, around $6,600 each.

Why does furnace replacement cost more in Centennial than Aurora?

The main driver is local labor rates: Centennial's labor index is 1.09 versus 1.09 in Aurora. Climate zone (cold vs cold) also shift the total.

How much is furnace replacement in Aurora, CO?

furnace replacement in Aurora runs $4,700–$8,450 as of 2026 — most jobs land near $6,600.

Do hvac pros really charge more in one city?

It's not a myth — BLS data puts installer wages at about $35.7/hr in the Denver-Aurora-Centennial area and $35.7/hr in Denver-Aurora-Centennial. Given labor is around 60% of a furnace replacement job's cost, that gap explains most of the price spread.

When is the cheapest time to buy furnace replacement — and does it differ by city?

It doesn't vary by location — Spring and fall (Mar–May, Sep–Oct) is the discount window in both Aurora and Centennial (roughly 5–15% off), while peak summer and mid-winter tends to be the most expensive in either city.

Should I choose where to live based on furnace replacement cost?

There's no cost argument here between Aurora and Centennial — they're a wash. Focus on contractor reputation, project scope, equipment tier and timing.

Keep comparing

Compare furnace replacement in other cities

Updated June 2026 · By Serhat Özçelik