Full HVAC System Replacement cost: Memphis vs New South Memphis (2026)
There's essentially no price gap here: full HVAC system replacement runs close to $11,250 in both Memphis and New South Memphis in 2026.
Memphis TN
Typically around $11,250
New South Memphis TN
Typically around $11,250
Memphis vs New South Memphis: full breakdown
| Factor | Memphis | New South Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| Typical 2026 cost | $11,250 | $11,250 |
| Estimated range | $7,850–$14,600 | $7,850–$14,600 |
| Labor index (vs US) | ×0.96 | ×0.96 |
| Climate zone | Mixed | Mixed |
| Climate factor | ×1 | ×1 |
| Local permit | $200 | $200 |
| Labor share | $6,750 | $6,750 |
| Materials/equipment | $4,500 | $4,500 |
Localized 2026 planning estimates — not quotes. Each city adjusts the national full HVAC system replacement range for local labor, climate and permits.
Basically a tie — focus on the contractor
Neither metro has a cost edge on full HVAC system replacement — spend your decision-making energy on the contractor, not the location.
Full HVAC system replacement by type: Memphis vs New South Memphis
We localize each full HVAC system replacement type separately for both metros, applying the same labor, climate and permit adjustments each time, so you're comparing like for like.
| Type | Memphis | New South Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| AC + gas furnace (split system) | $6,900–$12,650 | $6,900–$12,650 |
| Heat pump system (air-source) | $8,350–$15,550 | $8,350–$15,550 |
| Dual-fuel (hybrid heat pump + furnace) | $9,800–$17,450 | $9,800–$17,450 |
Localized 2026 planning estimates — not quotes. Each city adjusts the national full HVAC system replacement range for local labor, climate and permits.
Full HVAC system replacement by home size: Memphis vs New South Memphis
A full system (furnace + AC, or a heat pump + air handler) is sized to the whole home. Replacing both together costs more upfront but shares labor, permits, and a single install visit.
| Size | Memphis | New South Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| 1,000–1,500 sq ft | $6,900–$11,700 | $6,900–$11,700 |
| 1,500–2,000 sq ft | $7,850–$13,600 | $7,850–$13,600 |
| 2,000–2,500 sq ft | $9,300–$16,000 | $9,300–$16,000 |
| 2,500–3,000 sq ft | $10,750–$18,400 | $10,750–$18,400 |
| 3,000+ sq ft | $12,650–$21,300 | $12,650–$21,300 |
Treat these as 2026 localized estimates for full HVAC system replacement, not quotes from a contractor.
What hvac pros earn in each metro
Roughly 60% of what you pay for full HVAC system replacement is labor, which is why local wages explain most of the price gap. The numbers below are actual metro wages for skilled installers, sourced from BLS OEWS — not guesses.
Memphis metro · about 7% below the US average installer wage.
Memphis metro · about 7% below the US average installer wage.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, OEWS metro wages for HVAC installers (used as a trade-labor index).
Cheapest time for full HVAC system replacement in either city
A furnace or AC that dies mid-heat-wave gets replaced at whatever the on-call crew charges. One that gets swapped in April or October gets a competitive, unhurried quote instead.
How much should you really budget for HVAC in 2026?
An HVAC budget isn't one number — it's a set of trade-offs between sizing accuracy, efficiency tier and brand. Our editors walk through how each one moves the price.
The longevity case
The single biggest cost driver isn't the brand — it's correct sizing and install quality. A properly sized, well-commissioned mid-tier system with annual maintenance outlasts an oversized premium unit that short-cycles. Spend on the install, not the badge.
The budget-first case
Size the system to your home with a Manual J calculation and buy the standard efficiency tier (80% AFUE / 14.3 SEER2). In a mild climate the cheaper unit pays off because you rarely run it hard — paying for premium efficiency you won't use is the most common way to overspend.
The efficiency-first case
In a hot-summer or cold-winter region, a higher SEER2/AFUE unit — or a heat pump — earns its premium back in lower bills, and utility and state rebates can still cut into the sticker (the federal 25C/25D credits ended Dec 2025). Run the payback math before defaulting to the cheapest box.
Match the efficiency tier to your climate, insist on a real load calculation, and stack every rebate you qualify for. The expensive mistakes are wrong sizing and a rushed install — not picking the "wrong" brand.
Memphis vs New South Memphis
Is full HVAC system replacement cheaper in Memphis or New South Memphis?
Not really — both cities land at almost the same number for full HVAC system replacement, around $11,250 each.
Why does full HVAC system replacement cost more in New South Memphis than Memphis?
Labor rates explain most of it — 0.96 in New South Memphis vs 0.96 in Memphis. A mixed climate versus mixed accounts for the rest.
How much is full HVAC system replacement in Memphis, TN?
Memphis homeowners can expect $7,850 to $14,600 for full HVAC system replacement in 2026, with $11,250 the typical number.
Do hvac pros really charge more in one city?
They do, and the BLS wage data confirms it: installers earn about $29/hr around Memphis versus $29/hr near Memphis. With labor making up about 60% of a full HVAC system replacement job, that difference carries straight through to the final price.
When is the cheapest time to buy full HVAC system replacement — and does it differ by city?
Timing doesn't change by city here — Spring and fall (Mar–May, Sep–Oct) is the cheapest window in both Memphis and New South Memphis, saving roughly 5–15%. Avoid peak summer and mid-winter in either location, when emergency replacements push prices up.
Should I choose where to live based on full HVAC system replacement cost?
Not on this basis — Memphis and New South Memphis cost about the same. Weigh contractor quality, scope, equipment tier and timing instead.
Compare full HVAC system replacement in other cities
Updated June 2026 · By Serhat Özçelik