Asphalt Shingle Roof Replacement cost: Lincoln Square vs Missoula (2026)
The two metros aren't quite in sync on asphalt shingle roof replacement: Lincoln Square sits 21% above Missoula, or roughly $10,850 versus $9,000 — about $1,850 apart.
Lincoln Square IL
Typically around $10,850
Missoula MT
Lower costTypically around $9,000
Lincoln Square vs Missoula: full breakdown
| Factor | Lincoln Square | Missoula |
|---|---|---|
| Typical 2026 cost | $10,850 | $9,000 |
| Estimated range | $7,100–$14,600 | $5,900–$12,100 |
| Labor index (vs US) | ×1.14 | ×0.94 |
| Climate zone | Cold | Cold |
| Climate factor | ×1.05 | ×1.05 |
| Local permit | $300 | $250 |
| Labor share | $6,500 | $5,400 |
| Materials/equipment | $4,350 | $3,600 |
All figures are 2026 localized planning estimates for asphalt shingle roof replacement — get an actual quote before you commit.
Is the price difference a dealbreaker?
That's a real $1,850 difference (21%) on asphalt shingle roof replacement — worth factoring in, though off-season timing and a tighter quote in Lincoln Square can narrow it.
Asphalt shingle roof replacement by type: Lincoln Square vs Missoula
Every asphalt shingle roof replacement type gets its own localized price for each metro, using the same labor, climate and permit adjustments — a true apples-to-apples comparison.
| Type | Lincoln Square | Missoula |
|---|---|---|
| 3-tab shingles | $7,100–$12,200 | $5,900–$10,100 |
| Architectural shingles | $8,650–$14,600 | $7,150–$12,100 |
Treat these as 2026 localized estimates for asphalt shingle roof replacement, not quotes from a contractor.
Asphalt shingle roof replacement by roof size: Lincoln Square vs Missoula
Roofing is priced per 'square' (100 sq ft of roof). A roof is bigger than the home's footprint because of pitch and overhangs — a 2,000 sq ft home often has a 2,200–2,600 sq ft roof. Asphalt runs about $3–$5 per sq ft installed.
| Size | Lincoln Square | Missoula |
|---|---|---|
| 1,000 sq ft (10 squares) | $4,850–$8,650 | $4,000–$7,150 |
| 1,500 sq ft (15 squares) | $6,250–$11,600 | $5,200–$9,650 |
| 2,000 sq ft (20 squares) | $7,100–$14,600 | $5,900–$12,100 |
| 2,500 sq ft (25 squares) | $9,250–$17,000 | $7,650–$14,050 |
| 3,000 sq ft (30 squares) | $11,050–$20,550 | $9,150–$17,050 |
| 3,500+ sq ft (35 squares) | $12,800–$24,150 | $10,600–$20,000 |
Asphalt shingle roof replacement numbers here are 2026 planning ranges, adjusted per city — useful for budgeting, not a substitute for an actual quote.
What roofing pros earn in each metro
With labor making up about 60% of a asphalt shingle roof replacement job, wage differences between metros do most of the work here. These figures are real BLS OEWS installer wages, not modeled estimates.
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro · about 23% above the US average installer wage.
No BLS metro wage series for Missoula; we use Montana regional price parity instead.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, OEWS metro wages for HVAC installers (used as a trade-labor index).
Cheapest time for asphalt shingle roof replacement in either city
Shingles seal properly only in warm, dry conditions, which is exactly when everyone else wants a new roof too — especially right after a summer hailstorm. Lock in a late-fall or winter booking for a spring install and you skip that rush.
Where does a smart roofing budget go in 2026?
Tear-off vs. overlay, shingle tier and what's hidden under the deck decide the real number. Our editors on the trade-offs.
The do-it-right case
Pay for a full tear-off and quality underlayment, flashing and ventilation. An overlay saves money today but traps heat, voids some warranties and costs more at the next replacement.
The risk case
Budget for the unknown: rotten decking found at tear-off is the most common surprise. Get the per-sheet repair rate in writing up front so a "cheap" bid doesn't balloon mid-job.
The value case
Architectural shingles hit the sweet spot — far more durable than 3-tab for a modest premium, and far cheaper than metal or tile. For most homes they're the right default.
A roof's real cost shows up over its lifespan, not on install day. Tear-off, a documented repair rate and a mid-tier shingle grade are what keep that lifetime cost in check.
Lincoln Square vs Missoula
Is asphalt shingle roof replacement cheaper in Lincoln Square or Missoula?
Missoula comes out ahead here, at roughly $9,000 for asphalt shingle roof replacement compared with $10,850 in Lincoln Square — a 21% ($1,850) gap as of 2026.
Why does asphalt shingle roof replacement cost more in Lincoln Square than Missoula?
It comes down to labor: Lincoln Square indexes at 1.14 against Missoula's 0.94. The cold-vs-cold climate difference, plus permit fees, adds to the gap.
How much is asphalt shingle roof replacement in Lincoln Square, IL?
asphalt shingle roof replacement in Lincoln Square runs $7,100–$14,600 as of 2026 — most jobs land near $10,850.
When is the cheapest time to buy asphalt shingle roof replacement — and does it differ by city?
It doesn't vary by location — Late spring to early fall (dry, 45–85°F) is the discount window in both Lincoln Square and Missoula (roughly 5–10% off), while mid-winter and the post-storm rush tends to be the most expensive in either city.
Should I choose where to live based on asphalt shingle roof replacement cost?
Rarely. The $1,850 difference is real but one-time, and you can often close most of it in Lincoln Square by buying in the off-season and getting tighter, apples-to-apples bids. Ongoing factors — energy prices, climate and home condition — matter more over the life of the system.
Compare asphalt shingle roof replacement in other cities
Updated June 2026 · By Serhat Özçelik